By The Numbers: Week 7, 2018

I didn’t realize that the Packers played on Monday night until Saturday afternoon. Knowing that I didn’t have a game to watch on Sunday, I ended up spending the evening playing Magic with my mini-me and later with my roommate. The game started at 5ish on Monday night and since I don’t get off until 6, I missed nearly the whole first half of the game. I was surprised to see the Packers down at home to the lowly 49ers going into half-time, but I didn’t lose faith that magic would happen. I just didn’t anticipate how it would go down. Who would have thought after missing so many damn kicks last week, Mason Crosby wouldn’t miss any this time around (including the game-winner!)? I was glad they didn’t call for his head, because we knew he could do better. Everyone has bad days. At the end of the day though, the Packers move up to 3-2-1 on the season going into the bye week. Get some rest guys, the road ahead is going to be tough! Let’s grade my picks from last week:

Eagles 24, Giants 14 – Correct
Jets 21, Colts 13 – Correct
Bengals 26, Steelers 21
Chargers 27, Browns 21 – Correct
Bills 20, Texans 10
Bears 21, Dolphins 20
Vikings 28, Cardinals 20 – Correct
Buccs 24, Falcons 21
Seahawks 30, Raiders 24 – Correct
Panthers 28, Redskins 17
Rams 21, Broncos 19 – Correct
Jaguars 23, Cowboys 17
Ravens 24, Titans 14 – Correct
Chiefs 27, Patriots 26
Packers 27, 49ers 13 – Correct

A middling week, I scored 8-7 which isn’t terrible. This brings my season score to 51-51… so I’m right at the .500 mark. I feel like I should be doing better by now. But hey, even is better than in the hole! Let’s make some picks for next week.

Broncos 27, Cardinals 14
Chargers 24, Titans 13
Buccs 21, Browns 20
Patriots 30, Bears 17
Bills 23, Colts 19
Jaguars 27, Texans 10
Eagles 30, Panthers 20
Lions 21, Dolphins 13
Jets 28, Vikings 21
Saints 31, Ravens 27
Redskins 26, Cowboys 20
Rams 35, 49ers 20
Chiefs 32, Bengals 24
Falcons 28, Giants 14

Perhaps I’ll improve above .500 after next week. My team doesn’t play so it’s unlikely I’ll watch any football this weekend, but I’m also going out of town so I’ll be busy anyway. The season is already almost halfway over, but there’s still plenty of games left to watch.

Until next week.

By the Numbers: Week 6, 2018

What an atrocious game that was on Sunday. Not only are the refs consistently screwing up calls (that first touchdown came off of a botched call, where it was pretty damn clear that the punt hit a Lion first, not the other way around), but our kicker cost us the game, missing 13 points worth of kicks. Mason Crosby has been pretty damn reliable through the years, but talk about shooting us in the foot on Sunday. It didn’t help either, that twice Rodgers went down and lost the football, but that still didn’t count us out of the game the way the missed kicks did. Whatever the case, at 2-2-1 on the season, we’re not too far gone so I’m not calling for heads or losing hope. I’m just frustrated with the way the first chunk of the season has gone so far. Perhaps getting back some of our better receivers from injury will help. Let’s see how I did with my picks for last week:

Patriots 27, Colts 14 – Correct
Broncos 24, Jets 13
Panthers 30, Giants 17 – Correct
Bengals 20, Dolphins 17 – Correct
Ravens 28, Browns 10
Packers 27, Lions 14
Jaguars 21, Chiefs 20
Titans 23, Bills 7
Falcons 20, Steelers 10
Chargers 26, Raiders 21 – Correct
Eagles 31, Vikings 21
49ers 20, Cardinals 13
Rams 31, Seahawks 17 – Correct
Cowboys 24, Texans 20
Saints 33, Redskins 21 – Correct

Ugh, a terrible week for my picks as well. I went 6-9, which brings me to 43-44 on the season… dropping my score back below .500, sigh. Oh well, the season is still pretty young. Time to make some better picks for next week.

Eagles 24, Giants 14
Jets 21, Colts 13
Bengals 26, Steelers 21
Chargers 27, Browns 21
Bills 20, Texans 10
Bears 21, Dolphins 20
Vikings 28, Cardinals 20
Buccs 24, Falcons 21
Seahawks 30, Raiders 24
Panthers 28, Redskins 17
Rams 21, Broncos 19
Jaguars 23, Cowboys 17
Ravens 24, Titans 14
Chiefs 27, Patriots 26
Packers 27, 49ers 13

I foresee the team getting back on track this week. The 49ers are in disarray due to their QB’s injury and they haven’t really been a force for a couple of years. I’m hoping at this point that the Bears drop a game, though I picked them to win this week, it would just be nice to get back in the lead of the division. Time will tell though, and I’m looking forward to seeing next week’s results!

By the Numbers: Week 5, 2018

For once this season I don’t have a complaint with the way things were called during the game. I watched all but the fourth quarter of the Packers-Bills game as I had other plans and had to leave before the game ended. At that point the score was 19-0, and we even saw Clay Matthews get a sack without drawing a roughing the passer penalty, so that was a good thing. I’d like to think our defense finally came into their own and managed a lights out performance, but I know that a rookie QB can mean an easy road for a defense, so I’m not going to give them too much credit. Still, a shutout is good, and hadn’t been done by the Packers since 2010, so it was nice to see. Being 2-1-1 is definitely a better start than we’ve had some years, so let’s keep the train rolling! Let’s see how I did with my picks for last week:

Rams 30, Vikings 14 – Correct
Jags 20, Jets 10 – Correct
Dolphins 27, Patriots 20
Eagles 24, Titans 10
Colts 21, Texans 7
Packers 27, Bills 13 – Correct
Lions 20, Cowboys 16
Buccs 27, Bears 21
Bengals 28, Falcons 27 – Correct
Seahawks 17, Cardinals 13 – Correct
Raiders 23, Browns 17 – Correct
Saints 31, Giants 17 – Correct
Chargers 20, 49ers 10 – Correct
Ravens 30, Steelers 28 – Correct
Chiefs 28, Broncos 21 – Correct

A much better week at 10-5, putting me at 37-35 for the season. Finally above .500! I’m surprised by the Bears, who seem to be a legit contender for the first time in a long time. They put a whuppin’ on the Buccaneers, who have been putting their own foot down as of late. The Browns have been surprising too, as they not only won a game this year, but almost had themselves two ties as well. Rumor has it that the officiating was poor and that they were robbed of the win, but I can’t feel too bad since we were robbed by the officials versus Minnesota ourselves. Next week we face the Lions who have been pretty good in recent years but are off to a slow start. Can’t count them out completely, as division rivals tend to know your team inside and out, but I think we should be able to improve to three wins after Sunday. Here’s my picks for week 5:

Patriots 27, Colts 14
Broncos 24, Jets 13
Panthers 30, Giants 17
Bengals 20, Dolphins 17
Ravens 28, Browns 10
Packers 27, Lions 14
Jaguars 21, Chiefs 20
Titans 23, Bills 7
Falcons 20, Steelers 10
Chargers 26, Raiders 21
Eagles 31, Vikings 21
49ers 20, Cardinals 13
Rams 31, Seahawks 17
Cowboys 24, Texans 20
Saints 33, Redskins 21

We’ll see how things go, perhaps I can stay about .500 in my predictions going forward.

By the Numbers: Week 4, 2018

Well, week 3 didn’t go as I would have liked for my Green Bay Packers. This emphasis on roughing the passer has got to change as well… it’s simply ridiculous the momentum change it has on any game. When your team can’t tackle as they are taught to, it really takes the steam out of things. There were some missed opportunities sure, Randall Cobb dropped a couple balls, one on a critical 4th down. The refs gave Washington a touchdown that was clearly stopped at the goal line, and there were a bunch of pass interception calls that I don’t think were really necessary. All in all, Washington played better, but I think if you take away even half of those penalties we would have still be in it. Mr. Matthews himself had some things to say about it. First, here’s his 3rd roughing the passer of the season:

Yeah. I’m not seeing it. Here’s what he said after the game:

I tend to agree, and I’ve never been overly critical of the NFL and its policies that change more often than I change my underwear. But this has already cost us a game (well, a tie) and now hurt us in a consecutive game. I’m over it. Let’s see how I did with my picks for last week:

Jets 21, Browns 13
Saints 27, Falcons 21 – Correct
Packers 28, Redskins 10
Eagles 20, Colts 14 – Correct
Vikings 32, Bills 10
Raiders 20, Dolphins 17
Ravens 24, Broncos 20 – Correct
Bengals 17, Panthers 13
Giants 14, Texans 6 – Correct
Jags 21, Titans 20
Chiefs 27, 49ers 10 – Correct
Rams 30, Chargers 20 – Correct
Cowboys 14, Seahawks 13
Bears 23, Cardinals 16 – Correct
Patriots 30, Lions 10
Buccs 27, Steelers 10

Ouch. 7/9. Still not getting the majority right. That brings me to 27/30 on the season. Hopefully I can do better with week 4’s selections. Here we go:

Rams 30, Vikings 14
Jags 20, Jets 10
Dolphins 27, Patriots 20
Eagles 24, Titans 10
Colts 21, Texans 7
Packers 27, Bills 13
Lions 20, Cowboys 16
Buccs 27, Bears 21
Bengals 28, Falcons 27
Seahawks 17, Cardinals 13
Raiders 23, Browns 17
Saints 31, Giants 17
Chargers 20, 49ers 10
Ravens 30, Steelers 28
Chiefs 28, Broncos 21

I can hope that the Bills used up all their mojo in beating the Vikings last week, and hopefully that means we can come out on top.

By The Numbers: Week 3, 2018

What a shitshow that Packers/Vikings game was. Things were going great until about 7 minutes left to go in the game, at which point I looked over at my girlfriend and said “I think it’s safe to say we won this game.” At which point the refs decided to intervene. Not only was there a really shitty pass interference call on us, but there was a pretty bad no-call on them just prior to that. Later, up by 8 points, Clay Matthews got to Kirk Cousins at literally the same time he released the ball, which was picked off and should have put the game away in our favor. Instead, they called roughing the passer and the interception was negated. From there, the Vikings went on to score a touchdown and a two point conversion to tie. Aaron Rodgers managed to get us down field in something like 40 seconds to put Mason Crosby in position to win the game. He made the 50-something yarder but was iced by the Vikings who called a time out just before the kick. He missed the second attempt. The game goes to overtime. The Vikings could have put 3 on the board but their kicker misses. We don’t do anything. They have another opportunity to kick from 35 yards and their kicker misses again as time expires. Tie game. I guess on the plus side, we are still undefeated this season, with a 1-0-1 record, but so are the Vikes. It shouldn’t have gone down like that though, the Packers should be 2-0 right now. But it’s early in the season, so whatever, time to move on. Let’s grade my picks for week 2:

Ravens 27, Bengals 21
Panthers 24, Falcons 20
Redskins 20, Colts 10
Texans 14, Titans 7
Buccs 23, Eagles 21 – Correct
Chiefs 28, Steelers 20 – Correct
Jets 17, Dolphins 14
Chargers 26, Bills 13 – Correct
Packers 20, Vikings 17
Saints 30, Browns 7 – Correct
49ers 21, Lions 17 – Correct
Rams 33, Cardinals 10 – Correct
Jaguars 27, Patriots 24 – Correct
Broncos 28, Raiders 14 – Correct
Cowboys 21, Giants 13 – Correct
Bears 24, Seahawks 21 – Correct

Another 10-6 week, making my overall record for the season 20-12. Not bad, but could have been better. Some of those picks I’m surprised I got correct, and some I thought were definitely correct ended up not being. Also got some partial scores right, but I’m not going to start counting that kind of stuff unless I get one spot on, then that will be an extra point at the end of the season. Here’s my picks for week 3:

Jets 21, Browns 13
Saints 27, Falcons 21
Packers 28, Redskins 10
Eagles 20, Colts 14
Vikings 32, Bills 10
Raiders 20, Dolphins 17
Ravens 24, Broncos 20
Bengals 17, Panthers 13
Giants 14, Texans 6
Jags 21, Titans 20
Chiefs 27, 49ers 10
Rams 30, Chargers 20
Cowboys 14, Seahawks 13
Bears 23, Cardinals 16
Patriots 30, Lions 10
Buccs 27, Steelers 10

We’ll see how I do next week. Hopefully a little bit better as the year goes on and we get a feel for the real contenders and pretenders. See you then.