By The Numbers: Week 6, 2017

What a hell of a game it was. Last Sunday the Packers faced off against a recent conference rival in the Cowboys, and though I knew it was going to be a good game, I didn’t expect it to go down the way it did. The team pulled together through injury to finish off a drive in the 4th quarter down by 3, with only 1:13 left on the clock. Not much time for most teams, but when you have a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, that’s too much time. It was great for our fans, but Dallas fans were probably sick, because we have done this to them time and again over the last few years. Not to mention Elliot’s suspension was reinstated, so their ground game is extinct for the next 6 weeks. Maybe their season is over, but it’s too soon to say. So let’s check in on my picks from last week and see how I did.

Patriots 31, Buccs 27 – Correct
Jets 20, Browns 7 – Correct
Panthers 30, Lions 24 – Correct
Colts 21, 49ers 13 – Correct
Titans 23, Dolphins 17
Bills 24, Bengals 13
Giants 21, Chargers 10
Steelers 28, Jags 21
Cardinals 24, Eagles 20
Rams 27, Seahawks 20
Raiders 23, Ravens 21
Packers 31, Cowboys 20 – Correct
Chiefs 27, Texans 14 – Correct
Vikings 21, Bears 13 – Correct

A so-so week. I called 7 correctly, and 6 incorrectly. You can see why I made some of the picks that I did, but I grossly overestimated some of the outcomes. No matter, let’s move on to this week and see how I think things will shake up:

Eagles 27, Panthers 24
Ravens 20, Bears 10
Texans 21, Browns 7
Packers 30, Vikings 21
Lions 35, Saints 31
Falcons 31, Dolphins 20
Patriots 28, Jets 14
Redskins 27, 49ers 9
Buccs 24, Cardinals 20
Rams 23, Jags 20
Chiefs 31, Steelers 20
Raiders 24, Chargers 20
Broncos 36, Giants 10
Titans 23, Colts 21

The Packers face off against division rivals the Vikings this weekend, and I expect it to be more of a challenge than the Bears were. They aren’t amazing, and they no longer have AP, but they still tend to have a pretty good defense and they still make points. They aren’t doing terribly this year, so we’ll see how it goes. I still expect the Pack to take the W. We’ll find out soon enough.

By The Numbers: Week 5, 2017

I wasn’t expecting too much of a challenge in the Bears. It was a short week for the Pack, having played on Sunday and then having to turn around quickly to play again on Thursday, but knowing we were playing the Bears I wasn’t worried. For some reason Chicago was still starting Mike Glennon, who for a journeyman backup isn’t all that great. Why the Bears would trade up for Trubisky just to keep him as the backup I don’t know, but they did make the decision to start him this week so good on them. Maybe by the time we have our second game vs. them he’ll be acclimated. Regardless, our defense held them to two touchdowns while producing turnovers and the offense put points on the board consistently in the 35-14 stomping. Let’s see how I did with my other picks last week.

Packers 30, Bears 20 – Correct
Saints 27, Dolphins 20 – Correct
Titans 24, Texans 10 
Jags 24, Jets 10
Patriots 30, Panthers 24
Lions 21, Vikings 13 – Correct
Bills 27, Falcons 23 – Correct
Steelers 24, Ravens 17 – Correct
Bengals 20, Browns 6 – Correct
Cowboys 28, Rams 21
Eagles 31, Chargers 17 – Correct
Buccs 27, Giants 21 – Correct
Cardinals 24, 49ers 14 – Correct
Raiders 26, Broncos 24
Seahawks 19, Colts 13 – Correct
Chiefs 32, Redskins 17 – Correct

So 11 correct picks and 5 that were incorrect. A marked improvement over last week for sure, but still not a perfect prediction. Let’s see how much better I can do this week. With the Packers facing off against the Cowboys, I expect more of a close game this weekend, but I do still expect that the Pack will be able to close this one out. Starting the season at 4-1 would be one of the better starts we’ve had in a few years. Usually by now we’re 2-2 or so and we have to fight through the rest of the season to make the playoffs. I would love to see the team continue to win and only drop another couple to be in a good position in the post season. Our early exits have been frustrating in recent years.

Patriots 31, Buccs 27
Jets 20, Browns 7
Panthers 30, Lions 24
Colts 21, 49ers 13
Titans 23, Dolphins 17
Bills 24, Bengals 13
Giants 21, Chargers 10
Steelers 28, Jags 21
Cardinals 24, Eagles 20
Rams 27, Seahawks 20
Raiders 23, Ravens 21
Packers 31, Cowboys 20
Chiefs 27, Texans 14
Vikings 21, Bears 13

Let’s see how it goes. I’m ready for some football.

By The Numbers: Week 4, 2017

I was unable to watch football this past Sunday due to a prior engagement (I went to that Ixalan pre-release I recently wrote about) but despite that fact I was still following the game on the Packers app on my phone. I remember looking at the score from time to time and thinking that we were going to lose the game, particularly when I saw it was the 2 minute warning and we were still down. The next time I looked, it seemed we had won in overtime. I watched the highlights later that evening and though it was a rough start, that was a hell of a comeback and a hard fought win. I loved it, and wished I could have watched. Goes to show that it really isn’t over until it’s over. This week we host the Bears on Thursday night, so I’ll be getting to watch that game once I get home from work. It’s an important divisional matchup, but the all time series between the two teams is tied at 94 wins a piece, so it will be interesting to see if the Packers can take the all-time lead after this week. I’m betting they’ll do it. The Bears have only beaten the Pack with Rodgers under center four times, and one of those times was after they broke his collar bone and he missed most of the game. Here’s hoping something like that doesn’t happen again!

It was brought to my attention that I should probably go over the picks I made the week before in each week’s column, and actually that’s something I used to do. I think I ended up getting lazy about tabulating the results, and that’s why it’s just been picks for the last year or however long it’s been since I was doing that on the regular. I’m not going to worry about scores, just whether or not I picked the correct team to win. So let’s go over my picks from last week and see how I did:

Rams 24, 49ers 20 – Correct
Ravens 21, Jags 17 
Broncos 27, Bills 14
Panthers 30, Saints 27
Steelers 24, Bears 7
Lions 27, Falcons 23
Colts 31, Browns 20 – Correct
Buccs 27, Vikings 20
Patriots 28, Texans 21 – Correct
Dolphins 23, Jets 13
Eagles 24, Giants 7 – Correct
Titans 20, Seahawks 9 – Correct
Packers 30, Bengals 14 – Correct
Chiefs 28, Chargers 17 – Correct
Raiders 35, Redskins 20
Cardinals 27, Cowboys 19

So as you can see, I correctly predicted 7 games, and was wrong about 9. Not great, but not terrible. At least I got my game correct, and that’s what counts! So for week 4, here are my picks:

Packers 30, Bears 20
Saints 27, Dolphins 20
Titans 24, Texans 10
Jags 24, Jets 10
Patriots 30, Panthers 24
Lions 21, Vikings 13
Bills 27, Falcons 23
Steelers 24, Ravens 17
Bengals 20, Browns 6
Cowboys 28, Rams 21
Eagles 31, Chargers 17
Buccs 27, Giants 21
Cardinals 24, 49ers 14
Raiders 26, Broncos 24
Seahawks 19, Colts 13
Chiefs 32, Redskins 17

We’ll see how good I do next week. I’ll try to keep this up for the rest of the season and see how much of a sage I really am at the end of it all.

By The Numbers: Week 3, 2017

Week 2 most definitely didn’t go as I expected. Starting off slow again, the Packers went from a 7-7 tie vs. the Falcons, to a ten point deficit rather quickly. This wasn’t insurmountable though, and shouldn’t have been the end of the game but due to a TERRIBLE offensive pass interference call, we had a first down play called back and then a few snaps later, there was a forced throw that turned into an interception and points for the Falcons. We still had a chance after this to climb back into the game, but another poor throw while being hit was ruled a lateral and gave the Falcons even more points. Some valiant efforts late in the game made it appear to be closer than it was, but shitty officiating cost us that one. I don’t care about losing the 2nd game of the season though, plenty of teams are 1-1 at this point, and 1-1 is better than 0-2. It’s not the end of the world, but we can expect to see the Falcons again later in the playoffs, so hopefully next time things will be firing on all cylinders by then.

This week the Packers face off against the Bengals, whose arrow doesn’t really seem to be pointing up. I’d assume that we’ll be able to take them down and head into week four 2-1. Here are the rest of my picks:

Rams 24, 49ers 20
Ravens 21, Jags 17
Broncos 27, Bills 14
Panthers 30, Saints 27
Steelers 24, Bears 7
Lions 27, Falcons 23
Colts 31, Browns 20
Buccs 27, Vikings 20
Patriots 28, Texans 21
Dolphins 23, Jets 13
Eagles 24, Giants 7
Titans 20, Seahawks 9
Packers 30, Bengals 14
Chiefs 28, Chargers 17
Raiders 35, Redskins 20
Cardinals 27, Cowboys 19

By The Numbers: Week 2, 2017

Week 1 is in the books, and it was a good week for my Green Bay Packers! I wasn’t overly worried because the Seahawks have lost some of their weapons from years passed when they defeated us, but outside of the infamous Fail Mary game, they have still managed to pull out some upsets (the championship game a couple of years ago was really frustrating). The whole first half being scoreless isn’t something I think anyone could have predicted, but it bodes well for the defense who really performed well throughout the game. I was shouting at my TV when Mike Daniels created the fumble that would set us up for our first touchdown, and I loved seeing the free play from 12 men on the field generate another touchdown to Jordy Nelson. A great game for sure, but now we have to prepare for week 2, and that means heading down to Atlanta to face off against last year’s NFC champs (who beat us in the playoffs to go to the super bowl… we’re so close to getting back but keep falling just shy of where we want to be). Atlanta barely made it past the Bears last week though, so I think we should be able to produce. I’d like to see the offense get off to a better, faster start, and for the defense to continue to trend up as well as it did this first game. On with the picks (in before the game starts tonight)!

Bengals 24, Texans 20
Ravens 21, Browns 10
Panthers 24, Bills 14
Cardinals 30, Colts 27
Titans 21, Jags 20
Chiefs 27, Eagles 13
Patriots 30, Saints 24
Steelers 31, Vikings 13
Buccs 20, Bears 10
Dolphins 27, Chargers 20
Raiders 35, Jets 3
Broncos 28, Cowboys 21
Rams 27, Redskins 18
Seahawks 35, 49ers 13
Packers 31, Falcons 20
Lions 30, Giants 7